ciphergoth: (Default)
[personal profile] ciphergoth
WARNING: Comments counter to the policy at the end of this post will be removed.

I've now handed over the contracts; I'm Cryonics Institute member #1039. My next step is going to be to help other people who've expressed an interest to sign up. From those of you who don't consider signing up advisable, I'd like your recommendations on what you'd want them to read before they sign on the dotted line. I've asked something similar before.

If someone were to ask me this about Scientology, I'd point them to Operation Clambake. For homeopathy I'd go to 1023. For global warming, I might start with the New Scientist guide. But as best I can tell, there doesn't seem to be a similar resource for cryonics. Some have tried to argue that writing such a thing is impossible, that cryonics is simply too vague to coherently attack, but it frankly seems a bit of a stretch to say that of all the wrong ideas in history, cryonics is unique in that nothing useful can actually be written in opposition to it, despite the volumes written in favour that are ripe for attack (eg this); if there's enough to convince someone, there must surely be enough to challenge that conviction. Others say that there are simply bigger skeptical fish to fry, and that may be so, but given all the anger that seems to pour out when this topic comes up, it's a shame that so little of that energy goes into doing what would be most useful to challenge it.

However, I may be wrong about this; you may know of something I haven't found yet, or you may feel that an existing resource -- perhaps the RationalWiki article, or something else -- is better than I give it credit for. Either way, I welcome your links here, and when I'm talking to someone about signing up I'll be sure and direct them to read this post before they do.

Remember, you're not writing to address me; you're writing to address the people I'm going to point this article out to.

COMMENT POLICY: What I'm not interested in is direct discussion here of whether or not cryonics is advisable. It seems like every post that touches on cryonics gets used as a general discussion forum for anything and everything people think that relates to the subject, but I've had lots of discussions like that already both in this journal and elsewhere, and in this post, I'd like to keep some focus. This post is not for the argument - it's for the argument about the argument. Comments that insist on directly discussing the advisability of cryonics, without explicit linked reference to articles specifically about cryonics elsewhere, will be screened so that no-one but me and the commenter can see them. If you feel you have to make some direct argument, please post about it in your own journal and post a link here.

Date: 2010-07-25 02:22 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_lj_sucks_/
But as best I can tell, there doesn't seem to be a similar resource for cryonics.

That's probably because unlike the other things you mention, cryonics isn't harmful to other people and doesn't really make things any worse for the victim. The only real risk is that you're wasting your money and your heirs get less of it, which isn't a big deal. It falls into the same category as the lottery; I don't know of any central anti-lottery sites either.

Date: 2010-07-25 08:57 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_lj_sucks_/
Richard Brooksby would occasionally buy lottery tickets for 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. That made financial sense, because he got the entertainment value of really winding up his girlfriend of the time...

Date: 2010-07-25 11:56 pm (UTC)
kake: The word "kake" written in white fixed-font on a black background. (Default)
From: [personal profile] kake
On the lottery I would link someone to Lotteries: A Waste of Hope.

I hope it's OK to make a sidetrack here, but I found that article really interesting (though I feel it's rather weakened by the change of tack in the second half). It seems to me that the argument could also be applied to e.g. football supporters.

Date: 2010-07-25 02:31 pm (UTC)
djm4: (Default)
From: [personal profile] djm4
...it frankly seems a bit of a stretch to say that of all the wrong ideas in history, cryonics is unique in that nothing useful can actually be written in opposition to it,

That seems to me to be an exaggeration. For example, I don't think there's anything that can be usefully written against the possibility of us encountering extraterrestrials in the near future, either. There are several hypotheses with a Drake-equation-like core, where very high and very low probabilities with huge margins of errors attached might or might not cancel out, and cryonics seems to me to be one of those.

That's not to say people don't try to argue the toss. People certainly try to argue the toss on cryonics. But informed scientific opinion seems to me to be firmly in the 'we don't have enough data to make a guess now' camp.

Cryonics is not like homeopathy or 'global warming denialism', in that it doesn't contravene any currently known laws of science (AFAIK, and accepting that it has its lunatic fringes like any other discipline). Expecting it to have the same level of scientific evidence ranged against it as those do it is therefore wrong, IMO.

Date: 2010-07-25 02:36 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
I don't mean to imply that I expect exactly the same level of scientific evidence.

Date: 2010-07-25 07:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Anyway, so if I'm handing someone a copy of the cryonics FAQ, and "Scientific Justification of Cryonics Practice" and so forth, there isn't anything you'd want me to add to that stack of reading to give a more rounded picture. That's what I posted to find out.

Date: 2010-07-25 08:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] thekumquat.livejournal.com
Not having read the cryonics FAQ, but I think what you'd want is a "List of obstacles that would need to be overcome before you're ever going to get resusitated in a sentient way after death"?

Off the top of my head, that list would include telomere shortening before death, cell damage in the death/freezing process, memory loss if electrical activity shuts down, etc.

Date: 2010-07-25 08:01 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Can't quite bring myself to screen your comment, but this is exactly the sort of comment that I was promising to screen above I'm afraid!

Date: 2010-07-25 09:55 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Re-reading that just now it's much harsher than I should have been - sorry. What I really mean is, it would be wonderful if someone was really writing up these problems!

Date: 2010-07-26 09:02 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] thekumquat.livejournal.com
After BiCon I might just do that...

However I was addressing this: Some have tried to argue that writing such a thing is impossible, that cryonics is simply too vague to coherently attack, but it frankly seems a bit of a stretch to say that of all the wrong ideas in history, cryonics is unique in that nothing useful can actually be written in opposition to it, despite the volumes written in favour that are ripe for attack (eg this); if there's enough to convince someone, there must surely be enough to challenge that conviction.

I agree with you that a document listing the current problems would be most useful, but IMO that's different to saying it's inadvisable to give it a go(which as per your request I was carefully not commenting on)

Date: 2010-07-26 09:05 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
I hope you do find time to write these things up - even if you don't think it's inadvisable it's still worth having an open discussion about potential problems. Thanks!

Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-25 05:15 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] valkyriekaren.livejournal.com
I have to admit I'm a bit confused by what you're asking - you want something that is critical/skeptical of cryonics, so you can give it to people you're hoping to convince to sign up? That seems counter-intuitive to me - particularly if, as you've mentioned before, there are huge economies of scale involved.

Re: Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-25 06:44 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
I feel a duty to make sure people hear the other side of the argument...

Re: Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-25 07:02 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] valkyriekaren.livejournal.com
Well, I can see why you were never attracted to a career in marketing.

Re: Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-26 10:24 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ergotia.livejournal.com
IMO referring them to the RationalWiki would be way good enough!

I also think that anyone interested in this should know a bit about Singularity theories and transhumanism, because a cynic's reading suggests that cryonics together with those matters is simply a fear of death. I hasten to add that I am *not* suggesting that is true or even a knock out argument if true but may be a good idea for balance. I hope this is not off topic - my main point is my first sentence.

Re: Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-26 10:40 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Any particular links you'd recommend besides RW? Thanks!

Re: Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-26 10:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ergotia.livejournal.com
Nothing I have seen yet but will let you know. A referral to Ben Best's website, especially his lengthy info about what he eats, is a good laugh but would be unfair, I think :)

Re: Hope this isn't too much of a digression

Date: 2010-07-26 12:06 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
I don't think I can quite bear to do more than glance...

This is the trouble with any position that most people regard as outrageous, sadly - it tends to especially attract people who like to hold outrageous positions.

Date: 2010-07-25 08:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] drdoug.livejournal.com
The discussions you've had on here (?and on someone else's LJ), plus the stuff on your other blog, would certainly
suffice to see duty done so far as I can see. I've seen far less informed and far less constructive debates elsewhere.

Also, people you're talking to may well be interested in what your friends and contacts think particularly, or might know their POVs so would find arguments expressed by them particularly helpful.

Sorry I haven't written a "why I am not, on balance, at the moment, an active supporter of cryonics, but have little or no problem with people who take a different view" article, which would play something of the role you are looking for. The main reason is time. I have very limited time to do that sort of writing and - given my conclusion - there are many other things I want to write that I think are more important for me to write. Also, while I might enjoy writing it up, I have no appetite at all for the sort of vigorous arguments (never mind the risk of upsetting ad hominems and such) that would ensue. If I ever change my mind - on writing it up, or indeed on the subject itself - I'll be sure to let you know.

I am impressed by your efforts to be even-handed here.

Date: 2010-07-25 09:57 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
While I'd love to read it, I quite understand - and thank you!

Date: 2010-07-26 09:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizw.livejournal.com
What did your legal advisers tell you about the workability of insurance, in the end? I might be tempted to write up something on why I don't think paying for cryonics via life insurance works, but if other insurance lawyers have looked at it and come up with the opposite answer, I'd like to know their reasoning first.

Date: 2010-07-26 09:48 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
They didn't provide much detail I'm afraid besides their opinion that it would work - it's been pretty expensive so far and I don't think I can afford to press for more information, sorry!

Date: 2010-07-26 11:25 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizw.livejournal.com
Fair enough. What structure did you go for in the end - whole term life insurance in trust with CT as the beneficiary?

Date: 2010-07-26 11:27 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Whole life cost too much, so I've gone for term; I shall start saving up for coverage beyond 80 when I'm able.

Date: 2010-07-26 11:28 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizw.livejournal.com
Thanks. I have a long list of posts waiting to be written, so it will take me a while to get round to this, but I'll make sure to point you at it when I do.

Date: 2010-07-26 11:54 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] palmer1984.livejournal.com
My guess is that if cryonics became very popular there would more criticism of it written. Therefore you should try to get as many people as possible to sign up, so it becomes popular and you'll finally have something to engage with!

Date: 2010-07-26 12:04 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Of course my main reason for wanting to sign my friends up is to save their lives, but this would be a good side effect...

Date: 2010-07-28 01:47 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] pete stevens (from livejournal.com)
I think that you may have meant, 'I'd like my friends to pay a substantial sum of money now because of an unknown probability that they may be alive when the cryonics revolution happened'. If you genuinely believe that signing up for cryonics will save your life you really are a believer.

Date: 2010-07-28 07:02 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
I think it stands a decent chance of saving my and their their lives. But we're getting off topic.

Date: 2010-08-22 12:32 pm (UTC)
reddragdiva: (Default)
From: [personal profile] reddragdiva
Good luck with it! Erm, here's to someone showing the information is recoverable ... presumably in 40 years or whatever the techniques will have improved.

Date: 2010-08-22 12:36 pm (UTC)
reddragdiva: (Default)
From: [personal profile] reddragdiva
Oh, and the RW article is currently getting a pile of kicking, a current link would be better than an old diff.

Date: 2010-08-22 06:09 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Of course - I just wanted to link to a specific version in case it got comments here!

Date: 2010-09-02 06:08 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] blackmetalbaz.livejournal.com
Do you by any chance have PDF copies of these (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/5970120) papers (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/4821065)? I don't currently have Uni access, but they seem to get cited a fair bit. Obviously, they're worryingly old, but I can't form an opinion on their contents without reading them, and Ben Best does seem to claim that various papers say things that they don't appear to...

Date: 2010-09-02 08:45 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
I don't, sorry - if you manage to get hold of them do let me know!

Date: 2010-09-03 02:01 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] blackmetalbaz.livejournal.com
Not to worry... I've got mates in Cam that have library access. The idea is to write the sort of article you're looking for (in between the teaching planning!), but as I'm sure you can imagine trawling through the 65 references Best cites in his paper is taking some time.

It is an interesting area, so even if you've not sold me on it, you've certainly infected me with your enthusiasm for the subject.

Date: 2010-09-03 08:47 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
BTW really glad to see you're getting into this! Just to re-iterate my usual request - when you're done, please don't hide your work in a comment on my blog, but make a public blog entry of your own on the subject. That's much more useful to the many people who don't know me and may be trying to decide whether to sign up. Thanks!

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