Paul's Pictoral Parliament Predictor
Dec. 29th, 2007 12:22 pmThe position on the diagram indicates the proportion of votes cast; the colour of the circle indicates composition of the resulting parliament. The hollow circles indicate hung parliaments, and the ones with white dots indicate a 3/5ths majority.
The white triangle indicates the region where no party has a majority of the votes, with the subdivisions showing which has plurality, so the point where the three lines meet is the point at which all three have equally many votes.
Updated to use labels Three points on the diagram are labelled; one marks the results of the 2005 general election from which the entire diagram was extrapolated, and two of them mark results from recent polling data and what sort of Commons this model predicts from that data.
The means of extrapolation is pretty ropey - I'd be interested to know where to look to find better ones.
This is of course a work in progress.
no subject
Date: 2007-12-29 03:44 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2007-12-29 06:07 pm (UTC)