Artificial Intelligence and the year 2047
Dec. 10th, 2007 11:25 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
ciphergothClarification: By "smart" I mean general smarts: the sort of smarts that allow you to do things like pass a Turing test or solve open problems in nanotechnology. Obviously computers are ahead of humans in narrow domains like playing chess.
NB: your guess as to what will happen should also be one of your guesses about what might happen - thanks! This applies to![[livejournal.com profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/external/lj-userinfo.gif)
wriggler, ablueskyboy, thekumquat, redcountess, thehalibutkid, henry_the_cow and cillygirl. If you tick only one option (which is not the last) in the first poll, it means you think it's the only possible outcome.
[Poll #1103617]
And of course, I'm fascinated to know why you make those guesses. In particular - I'm surprised how many people think it's likely that machines as smart as humans might emerge while nothing smarter comes of it, and I'd love to hear more about that position.
NB: your guess as to what will happen should also be one of your guesses about what might happen - thanks! This applies to
wriggler, ablueskyboy, thekumquat, redcountess, thehalibutkid, henry_the_cow and cillygirl. If you tick only one option (which is not the last) in the first poll, it means you think it's the only possible outcome.[Poll #1103617]
And of course, I'm fascinated to know why you make those guesses. In particular - I'm surprised how many people think it's likely that machines as smart as humans might emerge while nothing smarter comes of it, and I'd love to hear more about that position.
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no subject
Date: 2008-01-13 07:02 pm (UTC)might:
given that machines currently outperform humans in many domains, if machines themselves also qualify under your "at least as smart as a human" they will in fact be smarter, as they still will be better at chess, factoring large numbers quickly, grepping for strings in files, indexing billions of documents, etc.
will:
I'm guessing we'll see sweet world changing human/machine hybrid technology that is vastly more capable than human or machine alone. Also, the humans who wield this technology becoming reliant on it. Definitely has the power to transform everything in the world.