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Clarification: By "smart" I mean general smarts: the sort of smarts that allow you to do things like pass a Turing test or solve open problems in nanotechnology. Obviously computers are ahead of humans in narrow domains like playing chess.

NB: your guess as to what will happen should also be one of your guesses about what might happen - thanks! This applies to [livejournal.com profile] wriggler, [livejournal.com profile] ablueskyboy, [livejournal.com profile] thekumquat, [livejournal.com profile] redcountess, [livejournal.com profile] thehalibutkid, [livejournal.com profile] henry_the_cow and [livejournal.com profile] cillygirl. If you tick only one option (which is not the last) in the first poll, it means you think it's the only possible outcome.

[Poll #1103617]

And of course, I'm fascinated to know why you make those guesses. In particular - I'm surprised how many people think it's likely that machines as smart as humans might emerge while nothing smarter comes of it, and I'd love to hear more about that position.

Date: 2007-12-13 01:45 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] meico.livejournal.com
This line:

I would make any further research into super intelligences downright impossible- and don't think we could outsmart it and do the work secretly... Remember, it would be infinitely intelligent compared to us and probably see through any plans we had well before they were even formed.

Should have been:

It would make any further research into super intelligences downright impossible- and don't think we could outsmart it and do the work secretly... Remember, it would be infinitely intelligent compared to us and probably see through any plans we had well before they were even formed.

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Paul Crowley

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