Date: 2004-11-05 07:14 am (UTC)
lovingboth: (Default)
From: [personal profile] lovingboth
Mandelson's been known to talk about a 'get your champagne out' call from the late great Vincent Hannah on election night 1992, based on the latter's knowledge of the exit polling.

The site's an essay bank, isn't it?

Date: 2004-11-05 07:21 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com
Correlation, though.

In any case, you're contradicting yourself. By saying that not even the exit polls provide a guide for what vote we might have expected, you're saying that there's no possible way of catching Diebold at it if they did the thing that you said would be "spectacularly stupid" for them to do.

Date: 2004-11-05 07:22 am (UTC)
zotz: (Default)
From: [personal profile] zotz
Mandelson's been known to talk about a 'get your champagne out' call from the late great Vincent Hannah on election night 1992, based on the latter's knowledge of the exit polling.

Yes, presumably based on the polls tweaked to match the prospective ones, if that essay's correct.

The site's an essay bank, isn't it?

Yes, but it matches what I remember. This article (google cache) states that the error in the BBC '92 exit poll was 2%, which is well within the stated margin of error. The problem wasn't the raw result.

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