Dec. 10th, 2007

ciphergoth: (Default)
Clarification: By "smart" I mean general smarts: the sort of smarts that allow you to do things like pass a Turing test or solve open problems in nanotechnology. Obviously computers are ahead of humans in narrow domains like playing chess.

NB: your guess as to what will happen should also be one of your guesses about what might happen - thanks! This applies to [livejournal.com profile] wriggler, [livejournal.com profile] ablueskyboy, [livejournal.com profile] thekumquat, [livejournal.com profile] redcountess, [livejournal.com profile] thehalibutkid, [livejournal.com profile] henry_the_cow and [livejournal.com profile] cillygirl. If you tick only one option (which is not the last) in the first poll, it means you think it's the only possible outcome.

[Poll #1103617]

And of course, I'm fascinated to know why you make those guesses. In particular - I'm surprised how many people think it's likely that machines as smart as humans might emerge while nothing smarter comes of it, and I'd love to hear more about that position.

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Paul Crowley

January 2025

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