I understand - you're not saying you expect to win the bet, just that your subjective odds are shorter than the ones they offer.
Yes, and with only one throw of the dice, the chances are still that I won't win, even if my expected winnings are mathematically good.
In any case, just to be clear, I was specifically betting on this to see how much even a small amount could change the odds. (Had I won - which I clearly haven't - I'd have donated the proceeds to BiCon's helping hand fund ;-).
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timeasmymeasure
no subject
Date: 2010-05-07 08:50 am (UTC)Yes, and with only one throw of the dice, the chances are still that I won't win, even if my expected winnings are mathematically good.
In any case, just to be clear, I was specifically betting on this to see how much even a small amount could change the odds. (Had I won - which I clearly haven't - I'd have donated the proceeds to BiCon's helping hand fund ;-).