Maine and Nebraska allocate their electoral votes differently from the other states. Instead of winner-takes all, they elect one elector based on the vote each individual congressional district and the last two electors based on the total state-wide vote.
Normally Maine is uniformly enough (D) and Nebraska uniformly enough (R) that this makes no difference in practice. But this time Obama has a realistic chance of winning an elector in Nebraska. However, your graph doesn’t seem to allow for this situation.
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timeasmymeasure
Another edge case
Date: 2008-10-24 04:02 pm (UTC)Normally Maine is uniformly enough (D) and Nebraska uniformly enough (R) that this makes no difference in practice. But this time Obama has a realistic chance of winning an elector in Nebraska. However, your graph doesn’t seem to allow for this situation.