I'm amazed at the huge disparity in their performance in some states. Arkansas, West Virginia and Tennessee are all wins for Clinton, but Obama loses them all by over 15 points, while at the other end of the scale North Dakota is a win for Obama but a 19 point loss for Clinton, and Washington state is a loss for Clinton but a 14 point win for Obama.
Western states are more libertarian. They are unimpressed with large entrenched bureaucracies and are unimpressed with the establishment candidate (Clinton.) This probably explains Washington and North Dakota.
Arkansas, Tennessee, and West Virginia are socially conservative. There is no real candidate representing the social conservatives this go around. Arkansas will vote for Clinton because her husband was governor there. The racist sentiments will dominate the sexist ones. Though they could have the white guy, they don't trust the white guy who was accused of having a black baby in the last election. McCain has an adopted daughter from Bangladesh.
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timeasmymeasure
no subject
Date: 2008-03-15 02:37 pm (UTC)Western states are more libertarian. They are unimpressed with large entrenched bureaucracies and are unimpressed with the establishment candidate (Clinton.) This probably explains Washington and North Dakota.
Arkansas, Tennessee, and West Virginia are socially conservative. There is no real candidate representing the social conservatives this go around. Arkansas will vote for Clinton because her husband was governor there. The racist sentiments will dominate the sexist ones. Though they could have the white guy, they don't trust the white guy who was accused of having a black baby in the last election. McCain has an adopted daughter from Bangladesh.