Though of course straight-swing is misleading here: given we got 6 MPs on something like 2% of the vote in the 1950s, the wipeout section of the grid is unlikely to actually play out quite as readily as the simple swing maths suggests. And some would see the ICM poll position as better than the 2005 result given the negotiating power it suggests: enough MPs to be kingmaker rather than facing another 5-year Labour majority government.
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timeasmymeasure
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Date: 2007-12-31 12:54 pm (UTC)Though of course straight-swing is misleading here: given we got 6 MPs on something like 2% of the vote in the 1950s, the wipeout section of the grid is unlikely to actually play out quite as readily as the simple swing maths suggests. And some would see the ICM poll position as better than the 2005 result given the negotiating power it suggests: enough MPs to be kingmaker rather than facing another 5-year Labour majority government.
Love that midpoint.