Paul Crowley (
ciphergoth) wrote2009-05-10 08:00 pm
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National Council for a New America
The National Council for a New America "is a group of Republican Party members that is aimed at rebranding the party" that met for the first time this month. This is how fucked they are:
- Sarah Palin has accepted their invitation to join, when she's everything they need to rebrand away from
- And the Family Research Council hate them anyway before they've barely opened their mouths.
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I am reluctant to get too enthusiastic - I remember hoping the Tories would sink out of sight and the LDs would become the Opposition. Fat chance.
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She doesn't appeal to us, but she doesn't have to in order for them to win.
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They don't have to appeal to us, but they do have to appeal to more than 30% of the electorate, and that's where they're in trouble.
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2008 was a 40 year record turnout at just over 60%. Getting 30% of the electorate to vote for you would have won every other recent US election, because the other guy would have got less.
I reckon even McCain would have beaten Democratic nominee J Random Whiteguy. Given that Republicans seem to have genuinely wanted Clinton to win the nomination because of how many people hate her, I suspect he'd have beaten her too.
Were I an evil Republican, I would:
a) Make sure there's a green/left candidate capable of getting 3-5% of votes that would otherwise go to the Democrat. Get some rich backers to persuade Nader to run again on a 'Obama's not done enough for the environment' platform.
b) Make sure the Republican ticket includes someone who will get conservatives out voting for you. If that means Palin, swallow hard and think that you managed to deal with Bush Jr.
c) Start fixing things / 'Obama's letting you down' campaigning in Florida, Ohio and other close large states.
d) Be prepared to wait until 2012 to win if the economy is going very well by then.