ciphergoth: (election)
Paul Crowley ([personal profile] ciphergoth) wrote2008-10-23 04:39 pm
Entry tags:

Does my new chart make sense?

Imagine for a moment that it's 2:30 AM London time on November 5th and like me, you've stayed up late to watch the US elections. Six states have been called so far: Vermont and Virginia for Obama, and Indiana, Georgia, South Carolina and Kentucky for McCain. You go to my election page and see this diagram:



Does it make sense to you? How could I improve it?

thanks!

Update: wow, a flood of very helpful comments, thanks so much, keep them coming!

[identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com 2008-10-23 08:37 pm (UTC)(link)
I'd do a separate chart for how the polls did against reality; I have scattergram software for drawing that.

Forgot to answer your other question - no, this chart, in the (so far) invented scenario I describe, predicts an Obama win by 95 points. The colour of the states just indicates how they went in 2004; it's which side of the midline they are that indicates how they are predicted to go this time.
Edited 2008-10-23 20:39 (UTC)

[identity profile] xquiq.livejournal.com 2008-10-23 09:02 pm (UTC)(link)
Ah right, yes. Bit of a braino on my part there...

[identity profile] ciphergoth.livejournal.com 2008-10-24 08:02 am (UTC)(link)
Not at all, just a useful indicator of what I need to do to make the chart clearer!