ciphergoth: (Default)
Paul Crowley ([personal profile] ciphergoth) wrote2011-06-22 02:59 pm

Ways the singularity could fail to happen

Dashing off a quick post with some half-formed thoughts just to see what people think. When I refer to the singularity here, I mean it in the intelligence explosion sense. I'm trying to categorize the different ways the singularity could fail to happen, here are the categories I've come up with so far:
  • Human minds might be fundamentally different to other physical things, and not subject to thinking about like an engineer
  • The idea of one mind being greatly more efficient than another might not be meaningful
  • Human minds might be within a few orders of magnitude of the most efficient minds possible in principle in our Universe
  • ... as above in our corner of the Universe
  • ... as above given the height of our physical knowledge
  • ... as above given the limitations of the height of our manufacturing ability
  • ... as above given the limitations of the height of our design ability
  • We might not continue to study the problem, or the relevant fields necessary
  • We might hit an existential risk before reaching the heights of our potential
  • We might have the ability to build superintelligent minds, but choose not to do so
  • We might build superintelligent minds and it not make a great difference to the world

What have I missed out?

EDITED TO ADD 15:20: just added "The idea of one mind being greatly more efficient than another might not be meaningful", which is a popular one.

Post a comment in response:

(will be screened)
(will be screened if not validated)
If you don't have an account you can create one now.
HTML doesn't work in the subject.
More info about formatting

If you are unable to use this captcha for any reason, please contact us by email at support@dreamwidth.org