ciphergoth: (Default)
Paul Crowley ([personal profile] ciphergoth) wrote2008-09-29 10:21 pm
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About the bailout being turned down

Intrade have had a market open for a few days on whether the bailout would go ahead by 30 Sep, and it's gone no higher than a 25% chance in the last 24 hours.

On the same page you'll find another market for whether we'll get one by 31 October, and that's still at 76%.

So at least some people who knew that this vote wasn't going to pass think there's going to be a bailout but not yet.

Also, scary fact from [livejournal.com profile] spyinthehaus: the cost of the bailout is roughly four times the value of all the gold in Fort Knox.

[identity profile] zwol.livejournal.com 2008-09-30 02:50 am (UTC)(link)
I know I've seen a figure in the range of US$20-25 trillion associated with the war. Possibly that's including all the indirect costs they can think of.